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Labour has well and truly lost its pandemic popularity, according to the latest political poll.
The Labour Party has fallen to its lowest point since 2019, on the Talbot Mills corporate poll. Talbot Mills is also the Labour Party’s pollster, but this poll was for its corporate clients.
It polled just over 1000 people at the end of June and start of July, shortly after concerns were reported about Labour minister Kiritapu Allan’s management of staff and after Michael Wood slowly and then spectacularly lost his job as a minister.
Compared to its last poll, Talbot Mills reported a major slump for Labour. It was down five points, to 31% – five points below National as well.
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While Labour fell, the Green, ACT and National parties rose one point each.
ACT was on 12%. The Greens, 8%.
Stuff
Things are tight between the two Chrises in current polling, and Damien Grant sees the governing party as the one with the most to be concerned about.
Both Te Pāti Māori and NZ First came in at about 4%, just below the 5% mark required to enter Parliament without an electorate seat.
Given Te Pāti is expected to win at least one electorate, this result would see the party bring more MPs to Parliament.
Combined, the Labour-Greens coalition sat 9% below the National and ACT coalition.
With National’s 36%, and ACT’s 12%, the Opposition parties collected 48% of the vote.
While this poll delivered bad news for Labour, it wasn’t all cheery for National’s Christopher Luxon either.
In the preferred prime minister stakes, Labour’s Chris Hipkins result fell with his party. He was down six points, to 32%.
But National leader Christopher Luxon’s personal popularity also remained below that of his party. His preferred prime minister polling fell one point to 21%.
Talbot Mills surveyed 1036 people between June 28 and July 2. The poll had a 3% margin of error.
This poll had similar results to an earlier poll, from Curia Market Research, undertaken during the first week of June.
In Cruia’s polling, which was commissioned by the Taxpayers Union, National was in the lead at about 36%. Labour was slightly above its most recent result, at 33%.
The ACT Party was at about 13%, while the Greens were at about 10%.
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